From ca75037e3950bb8f5da3e48c2cb74f6315977522 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: jtricerolph <info@tricerolph.com>
Date: Tue, 21 Jul 2026 17:47:40 +0000
Subject: [PATCH] Cap pickup suggestion so OTB + pickup never exceeds bookable
 capacity
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Rename ML± column to Pickup± (prior-year pace model, not ML)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
---
 backend/services/forecasting/pickup_v2_model.py | 4 ++++
 1 file changed, 4 insertions(+)

diff --git a/backend/services/forecasting/pickup_v2_model.py b/backend/services/forecasting/pickup_v2_model.py
index 143120a..fd5ea35 100644
--- a/backend/services/forecasting/pickup_v2_model.py
+++ b/backend/services/forecasting/pickup_v2_model.py
@@ -1281,6 +1281,10 @@ async def forecast_rooms_for_date(
             'prior_final': prior_final_by_cat.get(cat_id, 0)
         }
 
+    # Cap pickup so OTB + suggestion never exceeds available capacity
+    if bookable > 0:
+        total_pickup_rooms = min(total_pickup_rooms, max(0, bookable - current_otb_rooms))
+
     # Base forecast
     forecast_rooms = current_otb_rooms + total_pickup_rooms