hotel-manage-stack/forecasting
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Fix current OTB overcounting Departed and Unconfirmed bookings

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Guests who check out early keep their original departure_date in NewBook,
so Departed status with departure_date > stay_date were being counted as
live OTB — inflating room count above physical capacity. Unconfirmed
bookings are also provisional so excluded from live OTB.

Prior-year queries retain all statuses since historical bookings will
legitimately be in Departed state.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
jtricerolph 2026-07-21 17:15:03 +00:00
parent 455396c965
commit 2912745300
1 changed files with 5 additions and 2 deletions
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7
backend/services/forecasting/pickup_v2_model.py
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@ -91,13 +91,15 @@ async def get_current_otb_revenue(db, stay_date: date) -> Decimal:
return Decimal('0')
# Query actual bookings for real-time OTB revenue
# Exclude 'Departed' — guests who checked out early retain their original departure_date
# so would be double-counted; exclude 'Unconfirmed' for same reason on live OTB
result = await db.execute(
text("""
SELECT raw_json
FROM newbook_bookings_data
WHERE arrival_date <= :stay_date
AND departure_date > :stay_date
AND status IN ('Unconfirmed', 'Confirmed', 'Arrived', 'Departed')
AND status IN ('Confirmed', 'Arrived')
AND category_id = ANY(:categories)
"""),
{
@ -304,13 +306,14 @@ async def get_current_otb_rooms_by_category(db, stay_date: date) -> Dict[str, in
return {}
# Query actual bookings for real-time OTB count
# Exclude 'Departed' — early checkouts keep their original departure_date so would inflate count
result = await db.execute(
text("""
SELECT category_id, COUNT(*) as room_count
FROM newbook_bookings_data
WHERE arrival_date <= :stay_date
AND departure_date > :stay_date
AND status IN ('Unconfirmed', 'Confirmed', 'Arrived', 'Departed')
AND status IN ('Confirmed', 'Arrived')
AND category_id = ANY(:categories)
GROUP BY category_id
"""),